Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 40.518696 46.170587 52.358392 59.640929 67.984440 77.253121 88.342144
2024-12-15 35.746355 43.940347 53.636603 65.979730 81.309044 99.766340 123.745519
2024-12-22 31.171663 41.045468 53.585992 70.739584 93.686838 123.457607 165.227818
2024-12-29 28.113527 39.496803 54.953457 77.590996 110.103559 155.419970 223.914464
2025-01-05 24.598202 36.717097 54.236443 81.603180 123.645849 186.390503 288.246372
2025-01-12 20.814691 32.871328 51.349200 82.011738 132.203727 212.118977 350.983005
2025-01-19 17.922145 29.847330 49.160486 83.102327 142.129122 242.125044 427.663012
2025-01-26 16.214608 28.418425 49.262137 87.987883 159.418900 287.990424 542.439173
2025-02-02 14.878385 27.375686 49.831612 93.837163 179.742977 343.705380 689.201618
2025-02-09 13.280191 25.567363 48.716839 96.407685 194.615481 392.746182 835.904961
2025-02-16 11.517114 23.123477 45.973629 95.295018 202.067581 429.001813 966.012370
2025-02-23 10.056768 21.011029 43.497537 94.241420 209.478357 466.979487 1110.397954
2025-03-02 8.909494 19.378267 41.797495 94.731128 220.959783 517.873569 1302.530140
2025-03-09 8.037996 18.180597 40.816454 96.681320 236.448566 582.267137 1548.334999
2025-03-16 7.190252 16.879393 39.369788 97.275202 248.970988 643.033644 1804.602849
2025-03-23 6.675639 16.261468 39.399967 101.548423 272.051620 737.223399 2184.928526
2025-03-30 6.048321 15.251454 38.295547 102.701765 287.262773 814.701871 2543.203656
2025-04-06 5.322323 13.856077 35.961176 100.066903 291.368838 862.295875 2826.238416
2025-04-13 4.765851 12.798997 34.307106 98.976177 299.793235 925.250689 3182.380850
2025-04-20 4.472351 12.398811 34.353038 102.861740 324.514078 1046.032219 3782.745806
2025-04-27 4.250920 12.159100 34.806259 108.119197 355.160109 1195.413580 4544.941192
2025-05-04 3.931514 11.576293 34.158868 109.806764 374.592671 1313.051803 5233.359938
2025-05-11 3.532683 10.682512 32.414083 107.544281 379.926259 1382.876485 5759.238000